“Donald Trump’s strategy in this campaign has been fairly clear from the beginning: Drive up Republican support among white voters in order to compensate for the GOP’s shrinking share among the growing nonwhite portion of the electorate. And Trump has succeeded in overperforming among a certain slice…”Tagged: Election 2016, Donald Trump, Horserace, FiveThirtyEight
“Gary Johnson averaged just 7 percentage points in 11 polls1 released on Thursday, continuing a string of bad results for the Libertarian Party nominee. At the same time, the number of undecided voters appears to be falling. Those two trends are combining to remove some of the uncertainty in our…”Tagged: 2016 Election, Hillary Clinton, Donald J. Trump, Politics, Horserace
“We’re almost done. After two debates full of memorable moments such as Donald Trump saying he’d put Hillary Clinton in jail and mentioning his 10-year-old son as a potential expert on computers and cybersecurity, the final presidential debate of 2016 is upon us. And Trump needs to win it.”Tagged: FiveThirtyEight, Election 2016, Harry Enten
“If the 2020 election were held today and it were solely a referendum on Trump, Texas would be a toss-up.”Tagged: 2020, Election, Texas, Democrat